Posts Tagged ‘craps’

Free Odds Aren’t Really Free

Wednesday, July 22nd, 2009

Question from a reader:”Kim, I understand you wrote a book on craps.  I don’t know much about dice and have ordered your book but what can you tell me about free odds?  Thanks.”

 

My answer is an excerpt from my book, Practical Craps.   Best of luck to you and please don’t spend money you cannot afford to lose, and in this case, that means generally ANY money.  Ah well, for those who are interested and as an incentive to get my book, here is the gist of “free odds”:
First off, free odds aren’t really free.  It isn’t like the casino will pay you for nothing.  The expression “free odds” means that there are bets you can make that will pay you the true odds if the decision goes your way on the dice.

You don’t normally see them on the Craps layout because the casinos don’t encourage these bets.  They don’t make money for the casino.  Generally speaking dice play doesn’t offer the same return on investment as a bank of slot machines that don’t require human intervention on a regular basis (other than to fix jams or collect money).

Some casinos offer multiple odds (5x, 10x, etc) but that is usually to get players into their casinos.  You can also lose a lot of money playing large bets without a deep enough bankroll to handle the swings in the dice.

Basically, on a pass line or come point bet (once a bet has been moved to the point number on the top of the craps layout) you can make an odds bet.

You are paid even money on a pass line or come point, right?  On an odds bet, you place more money but that money (which can be removed any time before the dice are rolled) will be paid off at true odds.

The odds bet requires you to have a larger starting bankroll and you need to know what the odds are on the bets to make the appropriate sized bet.

You will also hear on come-out rolls the dealer yell “Odds off”.  That just means that on the come-out rolls, in case the shooter throws a 7 and you lose other bets that are up from the come bets, you won’t lose your odds bets. 

You can call the bet on or off and the dealer will throw a chip on your bet saying it is “WORKING” or not.

So how do we “take odds” when we are betting with the dice or “lay odds” if we are betting against the dice?

Simple, we just adjust our bet to the multiple that would give us a correct payoff.

So if we were betting $10 on the pass line.  On the come out roll the shooter threw a 10.  We could go ahead and place $10 behind the line as our “single odds” bet.  That means that if the shooter makes his point of ten.  We get paid $10 for our $10 pass line bet and since the odds are 2:1 against us, we would make $20 for the back line, free odds bet.  Our total winnings for both bets would be $30.

If we are playing with “double odds” that would mean we could go up to $20 behind the line.  We would be betting $30 ($10 on the Pass line and $20 free odds).  If the shooter throws a 10 we win $10 for the Pass line bet and then we get $40 for our double odds bet for a total winnings of $50.

Now the reality check is in either case if the shooter throws a 7 we lose both our pass line bet and our odds bet for a loss of either $20 or $30 respectively.

Getting it?  It really isn’t complicated once you start paying attention to the numbers.  You just have to be brutally honest with yourself that you are playing in a game where the odds are stacked against you.

LAYING ODDS

If you are planning on playing the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come, you can lay the odds.  It requires a very large bankroll but the law of averages is on your side if you have survived the come out roll.

In the example of the 10 – if you are betting on the Don’t Pass for $10 and you have a point of 10, you can lay $20 and the dealer will show you how to stack your chips.  If the 7 shows up, you win $10 for the pass line bet, plus $10 for your odds bet (remember you are covering the OPPOSITE of the 2:1 since the odds are in your favor).

If the shooter throws his 10, you lose your $10 bet and your $20 lay odds bet.

Same situation, just the other side of it.

Here is a table of what to bet for odds:

TAKING SINGLE ODDS

4 or 10  2:1
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20= $30

5 or 9  3:2
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $15 = $25

6 or 8  6:5
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $12 = $22

 

Remember that in all of our bets, if you win, you also get back all the money that you put up for the bet.  The reason I mention it is that you shouldn’t include it as winnings.

Because of the uneven payout ratios you should learn the odds and remember to make the appropriate size bets in order to get paid off correctly if you are playing odds bets.  Remember also that you can lower or take your odds bets down at any time.  You cannot do that with your pass line bets once established.  You can take down your don’t pass bets but why would you want to?  You work so hard to make it through the come out roll the odds are now in your favor!

LAYING SINGLE ODDS

4 or 10  1:2
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20

5 or 9  2:3
$10 bet   $15 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20

6 or 8  5:6
$10 bet   $12 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20
In the short run, you can win or lose a lot of money taking or laying odds.  It depends on how the shooter is throwing, the trend on the table and of course, what is your bankroll.

Don’t play beyond your means.  There will ALWAYS be another craps game.  It is very easy – easier than in poker – to get caught up in the energy and excitement of a craps game and throw all caution to the wind.  Please don’t do it. 
Notice how the odds table work?  The 4/10 numbers true odds are 2:1, the 5/9 numbers true odds are 3:2 and the 6/8 numbers true odds are 6:5.  I have adjusted the amounts based on $5 minimum bets for the tables to give you an idea of seeing how you get paid back.

When you lay odds you are just covering the bets by putting up what you would pay out if you were the house.  It is a lot of money to win a little bit of money, but remember, statistically, once you make it past the come out roll, the odds are in your favor (though as we discussed, in the long run, all things being equal, you will average out if you are betting the same way over thousands of dice rolls).

 

TAKING DOUBLE ODDS

4 or 10  2:1
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $40 = $50

5 or 9  3:2
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $30 = $40

6 or 8  6:5
$10 bet   $25 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $30 = $40

LAYING DOUBLE ODDS

4 or 10  1:2
$10 bet   $40 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20 = $30

5 or 9  2:3
$10 bet   $30 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20 = $30

6 or 8  5:6
$10 bet   $30 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $25 = $35
Did you notice that the 6 or 8 bets were not correct?  I want to see if you are paying attention!
Some casinos will let you go up to $25 as a bet for 6:5 on the 6 or 8 if the table offers 2X odds.  On the 6 or 8 they may allow 2.5X odds since it is easy to pay off.  Ask the dealer before making the bet to see what they say.
Are you getting it?  Or is it still confusing?  It took me several trips to casinos and playing a bit till I understood it.  Please re-read whatever you aren’t getting and work the numbers yourself so you will see that it isn’t that complicated, it is simply a matter of familiarizing yourself with the numbers, their combinations and pay-offs.

Some players make bets on the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come in multiples of $6 in order to make their odds bets easier.  Whatever works for you.  My suggestion would be to start out small and go easy on the betting and read more about it in my book, Practical Craps.   Good luck and have fun.

And don’t gamble with bread and egg money!!!!!  It should be fun and not a business.

July 22 2009

Also, please  don’t quite go anywhere yet.  Having some tax issues or tax questions?  Any problems with trying to make it through the financial Depression we are in that is making you depressed?  Please read on.

I am expanding  my practice and taking on new tax clients.  If you are interested in having somebody who is a successful businessman and tax professional with integrity review your returns discretely and see if your tax guy or gal is doing a good or goofy job, please drop me an email or post a comment with your contact information and time.

I have experience in international business, small businesses, partnerships, multi-state tax returns (they can get complicated) and anything else you can probably think of.

I also do business consulting and have ran several businesses (still running a few) myself so you are in good hands.

If you are looking for a day job, part time work, suggestions for saving money or investing, please check out my book, Practical Money Making, that is listed right after his paragraph in this very post. There are some great suggestions and ways to survive the Depression we are in.

Practical Money Making-Surviving Recession, Layoffs, Credit Problems, Generating Passive Income Streams, Working Full Time or Part Time and Retirement

Interested in any of my books? You may want to make a stop over here. Please click through to purchase my books and some other interesting items that actually ARE on sale.

Have you read my book, “Bad Tax Idea, Good Tax Idea“? Please order it today. The tips inside can save you hundreds if not thousands of dollars! Tax planning should be done year round and not just two weeks into January or later.

Part of all the proceeds from the sales of that book go to Rett Syndrome research. One girl is born with Rett Syndrome worldwide every fifteen minutes. My daughter Arianna has Rett.

Kim Isaac Greenblatt

Free Odds Aren’t Really Free

Kevin Rose is he an alcoholic, urine drinker or none of that?

Saturday, August 2nd, 2008

Shamelessly picking on Kevin Rose for my own self-serving interests and to educate you guys and gals about critical thinking and gambling let me throw this out there.  What is Kevin Rose drinking?

Seriously. He just had another announcement about another upgrade to Digg and there he is again with that blissed out grin of his holding a fluted glass with something in it. That, my friendly readers, is the question. What is it he is drinking? First blush, somebody would say that it is champagne. Okay, he has a great company and he is celebrating. I don’t know him personally so I can’t say if that is really Martinelli’s apple cider. Same kinda bubbling. Maybe it is just water. Maybe it is something faintly bubbling like Fizzies.

Maybe it is urine. Yuch. To each his own I suppose.

Here is the deal. If I have done my job right, I have got you thinking about not taking images at face value. For all of us humans that have been thrown into forced short term attention span thinking, we look at an image and depending on our background and experience, make a logical conclusion based on our own experiences without thinking about asking the question – what exactly am I looking at?

Most of the time, you can pretty much assume that what you are looking at is what it seems to be. Whatever it is that Kevin Rose is drinking, he clearly is happy about it and is in either a toasting mood (“To urine?” Yuck) or to us (“To my Diggers” Better and not so Yuck). The impression that he wanted to deliver is clear and well received. Pretty innocent so far, huh?

The problem in real life is when you get news pieces, web blasts, pictures and information without anything other than a soundbite or web blast. Most people turn into parrots and start repeating what they have heard without thinking about was the context of the information. Questions you need to ask yourself or at least think about when you get information (and even from a guy who writes about urine like me) are:

What is the context of the information?
What does the person who is releasing the information have to gain from telling us about it?
Is it really from an unbiased source or am I being gamed?

With the coming political campaign hitting a head I strongly urge everybody to really listen to the candidates and ask them hard, clear questions that you are entitled to get hard, clear answers.

When you see the ads from either party, make sure you sift through the rhetoric, the emotional bullets they are trying to fire and get to the meat of the images.

The same holds true in business and in gambling. People will focus in on anything that will reinforce what they believe in. When it comes to craps for example, people think that just because a number hasn’t been thrown with the dice that the number is “due”. The reality is that the odds are the same for each throw of a pair of dice (if they are not fixed) no matter what.

When it comes to something more subjective like pictures, videos and articles (especially by urine writers like me), things aren’t cut and dry. As you speed thru your digging or your social interactions of choice, please take the time to sometimes ask what is going on behind the scenes.

Oh, and by the way, for whoever gets to be elected President, if you want to get America going, spend money rebuilding the infrastructure (freeways, bridges, roadways, dams, etc). The money will be put to keeping America together in a very LITERAL sense, it will create jobs in America, and the people making that money will spend it in America.

Oh, and spend more money in helping people and families with special needs, like Rett Syndrome.

See? All of that urine stuff was just to get your attention to tell you how you should vote and what you should you tell your candidate of choice!

Practical Craps: A Guide to Being a Winner With Dice

Kim Greenblatt

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