Posts Tagged ‘dice’

Free Odds Aren’t Really Free

Wednesday, July 22nd, 2009

Question from a reader:”Kim, I understand you wrote a book on craps.  I don’t know much about dice and have ordered your book but what can you tell me about free odds?  Thanks.”

 

My answer is an excerpt from my book, Practical Craps.   Best of luck to you and please don’t spend money you cannot afford to lose, and in this case, that means generally ANY money.  Ah well, for those who are interested and as an incentive to get my book, here is the gist of “free odds”:
First off, free odds aren’t really free.  It isn’t like the casino will pay you for nothing.  The expression “free odds” means that there are bets you can make that will pay you the true odds if the decision goes your way on the dice.

You don’t normally see them on the Craps layout because the casinos don’t encourage these bets.  They don’t make money for the casino.  Generally speaking dice play doesn’t offer the same return on investment as a bank of slot machines that don’t require human intervention on a regular basis (other than to fix jams or collect money).

Some casinos offer multiple odds (5x, 10x, etc) but that is usually to get players into their casinos.  You can also lose a lot of money playing large bets without a deep enough bankroll to handle the swings in the dice.

Basically, on a pass line or come point bet (once a bet has been moved to the point number on the top of the craps layout) you can make an odds bet.

You are paid even money on a pass line or come point, right?  On an odds bet, you place more money but that money (which can be removed any time before the dice are rolled) will be paid off at true odds.

The odds bet requires you to have a larger starting bankroll and you need to know what the odds are on the bets to make the appropriate sized bet.

You will also hear on come-out rolls the dealer yell “Odds off”.  That just means that on the come-out rolls, in case the shooter throws a 7 and you lose other bets that are up from the come bets, you won’t lose your odds bets. 

You can call the bet on or off and the dealer will throw a chip on your bet saying it is “WORKING” or not.

So how do we “take odds” when we are betting with the dice or “lay odds” if we are betting against the dice?

Simple, we just adjust our bet to the multiple that would give us a correct payoff.

So if we were betting $10 on the pass line.  On the come out roll the shooter threw a 10.  We could go ahead and place $10 behind the line as our “single odds” bet.  That means that if the shooter makes his point of ten.  We get paid $10 for our $10 pass line bet and since the odds are 2:1 against us, we would make $20 for the back line, free odds bet.  Our total winnings for both bets would be $30.

If we are playing with “double odds” that would mean we could go up to $20 behind the line.  We would be betting $30 ($10 on the Pass line and $20 free odds).  If the shooter throws a 10 we win $10 for the Pass line bet and then we get $40 for our double odds bet for a total winnings of $50.

Now the reality check is in either case if the shooter throws a 7 we lose both our pass line bet and our odds bet for a loss of either $20 or $30 respectively.

Getting it?  It really isn’t complicated once you start paying attention to the numbers.  You just have to be brutally honest with yourself that you are playing in a game where the odds are stacked against you.

LAYING ODDS

If you are planning on playing the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come, you can lay the odds.  It requires a very large bankroll but the law of averages is on your side if you have survived the come out roll.

In the example of the 10 – if you are betting on the Don’t Pass for $10 and you have a point of 10, you can lay $20 and the dealer will show you how to stack your chips.  If the 7 shows up, you win $10 for the pass line bet, plus $10 for your odds bet (remember you are covering the OPPOSITE of the 2:1 since the odds are in your favor).

If the shooter throws his 10, you lose your $10 bet and your $20 lay odds bet.

Same situation, just the other side of it.

Here is a table of what to bet for odds:

TAKING SINGLE ODDS

4 or 10  2:1
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20= $30

5 or 9  3:2
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $15 = $25

6 or 8  6:5
$10 bet   $10 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $12 = $22

 

Remember that in all of our bets, if you win, you also get back all the money that you put up for the bet.  The reason I mention it is that you shouldn’t include it as winnings.

Because of the uneven payout ratios you should learn the odds and remember to make the appropriate size bets in order to get paid off correctly if you are playing odds bets.  Remember also that you can lower or take your odds bets down at any time.  You cannot do that with your pass line bets once established.  You can take down your don’t pass bets but why would you want to?  You work so hard to make it through the come out roll the odds are now in your favor!

LAYING SINGLE ODDS

4 or 10  1:2
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20

5 or 9  2:3
$10 bet   $15 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20

6 or 8  5:6
$10 bet   $12 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $10 = $20
In the short run, you can win or lose a lot of money taking or laying odds.  It depends on how the shooter is throwing, the trend on the table and of course, what is your bankroll.

Don’t play beyond your means.  There will ALWAYS be another craps game.  It is very easy – easier than in poker – to get caught up in the energy and excitement of a craps game and throw all caution to the wind.  Please don’t do it. 
Notice how the odds table work?  The 4/10 numbers true odds are 2:1, the 5/9 numbers true odds are 3:2 and the 6/8 numbers true odds are 6:5.  I have adjusted the amounts based on $5 minimum bets for the tables to give you an idea of seeing how you get paid back.

When you lay odds you are just covering the bets by putting up what you would pay out if you were the house.  It is a lot of money to win a little bit of money, but remember, statistically, once you make it past the come out roll, the odds are in your favor (though as we discussed, in the long run, all things being equal, you will average out if you are betting the same way over thousands of dice rolls).

 

TAKING DOUBLE ODDS

4 or 10  2:1
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $40 = $50

5 or 9  3:2
$10 bet   $20 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $30 = $40

6 or 8  6:5
$10 bet   $25 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $30 = $40

LAYING DOUBLE ODDS

4 or 10  1:2
$10 bet   $40 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20 = $30

5 or 9  2:3
$10 bet   $30 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $20 = $30

6 or 8  5:6
$10 bet   $30 odds bet   payoff:  $10 + $25 = $35
Did you notice that the 6 or 8 bets were not correct?  I want to see if you are paying attention!
Some casinos will let you go up to $25 as a bet for 6:5 on the 6 or 8 if the table offers 2X odds.  On the 6 or 8 they may allow 2.5X odds since it is easy to pay off.  Ask the dealer before making the bet to see what they say.
Are you getting it?  Or is it still confusing?  It took me several trips to casinos and playing a bit till I understood it.  Please re-read whatever you aren’t getting and work the numbers yourself so you will see that it isn’t that complicated, it is simply a matter of familiarizing yourself with the numbers, their combinations and pay-offs.

Some players make bets on the Don’t Pass and Don’t Come in multiples of $6 in order to make their odds bets easier.  Whatever works for you.  My suggestion would be to start out small and go easy on the betting and read more about it in my book, Practical Craps.   Good luck and have fun.

And don’t gamble with bread and egg money!!!!!  It should be fun and not a business.

July 22 2009

Also, please  don’t quite go anywhere yet.  Having some tax issues or tax questions?  Any problems with trying to make it through the financial Depression we are in that is making you depressed?  Please read on.

I am expanding  my practice and taking on new tax clients.  If you are interested in having somebody who is a successful businessman and tax professional with integrity review your returns discretely and see if your tax guy or gal is doing a good or goofy job, please drop me an email or post a comment with your contact information and time.

I have experience in international business, small businesses, partnerships, multi-state tax returns (they can get complicated) and anything else you can probably think of.

I also do business consulting and have ran several businesses (still running a few) myself so you are in good hands.

If you are looking for a day job, part time work, suggestions for saving money or investing, please check out my book, Practical Money Making, that is listed right after his paragraph in this very post. There are some great suggestions and ways to survive the Depression we are in.

Practical Money Making-Surviving Recession, Layoffs, Credit Problems, Generating Passive Income Streams, Working Full Time or Part Time and Retirement

Interested in any of my books? You may want to make a stop over here. Please click through to purchase my books and some other interesting items that actually ARE on sale.

Have you read my book, “Bad Tax Idea, Good Tax Idea“? Please order it today. The tips inside can save you hundreds if not thousands of dollars! Tax planning should be done year round and not just two weeks into January or later.

Part of all the proceeds from the sales of that book go to Rett Syndrome research. One girl is born with Rett Syndrome worldwide every fifteen minutes. My daughter Arianna has Rett.

Kim Isaac Greenblatt

Free Odds Aren’t Really Free

Profitable Or Practical Book Titles and Marketing and Recession Thinking

Wednesday, July 30th, 2008

I have completed the secod draft of my next non-fiction book, tenatively entitled, “Practical Money Making-Surviving Recessions, Layoffs, Credit Problems, Generating Passive Income Streams, Working Full Time or Part Time and Retirement”.  It is not quite as long as the longest pop song title in the world, but it is up there in terms of number of words.   When you are self-publishing, you are already swimming against the tide in the internet ocean.  You are competing with book chains, their websites, other authors, other bloggers and apathy.

One of the best ways to get your book noticed is to make it unique.  I’ve tried to do that with some of my other books on poker, on Rett Syndrome, tax preparation and dice and have had moderate success.  This new book is going to be interesting because the title is going to be so long.

The theory behind it is that the book will be easily picked up by search engines when readers like yourself try to find out information on making money.  As Morris Rosenthal had pointed out once, it is a lot easier to be found if you are in a unique enough niche but the problem is can you make a profit from writing a book in that niche?

RIght now we are in state of flux.  Some of the change is good and some of it isn’t so good.  There are a lot of people out in the United States who are losing their homes, their retirement, and don’t know what to do.  If they have special needs children or people that care in their house, it is even harder for them.  I hope that my book will at least give them direction, some inspiration and some pointers as to what they might be able to do to help extract them from their situation.

The problem I run into as a publisher, is that when it comes to money or savings or income, the internet is swollen with people trying to cash in on the words, pages or anything to get views.  A lot of it is spam, get rich quick schemes.  Some of it is legit and quite informative.   As others have stated, you have to get creative to become a clear signal from all the noise that is generated from the internet.

I tell people who are trying to self publish to try and come up with something unique but accurately defines their book if they are trying to market it. There is a lot of information on trying to find key words that are easily searched. If you tend to go with these words the risk you run into is that you will be caught in the blizzard of spam and other people trying to cash in the same way you are. One of Kim’s rules of being profitable is trying to do something different that the other person isn’t doing. Even if it is only slightly different because the market is so large, it still pays to try to do something to give it your brand.

In hard times, people really want honesty as well as money. A lot of people feel disgusted because their investment brokers, their former employers and their government have betrayed their trust. It pays to be honest if you are writing non-fiction and that in itself should help generate word-of-mouth sales and buzz to sell your book.

For fiction, I suggest you put up samples of your work. Don’t worry about people stealing your ideas. There isn’t anything new under the sun and if you are worried, pay for a copyright before you post it. The only way that you will be discovered of creating the next Hobbit or Harry Potter or Dean Koontz book is for you to be out there. In keeping with my being brutally honest, fiction is A LOT harder to sell than non-fiction.

The reason is that fiction is very subjective in taste and what you find boring I might find exciting and original and vice versa. Non fiction is basically the facts and straight information. People usually don’t care who they get the information from.

Tying that back in from where we started, one way to stand out to shout “Hey I have the information you want at a moderate price” is to have a title that people can find or at the very least is unique.
The way I figure it, if they can’t remember the title, remembering “Kim Greenblatt” might be easier.

Don’t forget to post sample pages of your non-fiction on your website or blog. Listen to the feedback you get. Before you invest too heavily in your time and effort, make sure that there is a market – as well as an undogly long name-for what you are trying to do!

Kim

 

Kim Greenblatt

Questions or comments? Let me know about them! Thanks for taking the time to visit and for more information or to get back to the beginning of the blog, go here.