Posts Tagged ‘Texas Hold’em’

Sat Night Poker Winning and Investment Thoughts

Sunday, September 28th, 2008

Saturday night I went briefly out to play some $4/8 Texas Hold’em at Hollywood Park. It was after I visited my mother and I wanted to just briefly play for a little bit. The table was a little loose for my tastes but as anybody who has read my books or writings know, it shouldn’t matter if you stick to playing your game and adjusting slightly to compensate for any game climate changes (the game goes from too tight to too loose, etc). I was dealt the jack and five of clubs and I was under the gun. Normally, in a regular, “average” game where the players are balanced and not too tight or loose I would fold. I didn’t and I ended up winning big when the board flopped a pair of jacks to make me trips. I didn’t win many hands after that but I left a winner.It turned out to be a profitable evening. I bought in with $120 and left with $148 for a net profit of $28 or about 23 and 1/3% profit. Not bad.

When it comes to investments, people need to do a reality check to see if the percentage that they are making back is sustainable for the money they are investing. Some poker players are probably saying, “That isn’t poker, that is being a coward.”

If quitting with a return on investment (ROI) of 23.33% is cowardly, then I want to be the king of the cowardly lions. I wish ALL my investments could return that much money. The reality is that in poker, a lot of it is depending on luck.

With investments that is true to a point but if your money is supposedly in a “safe” investment that is government insured, you would hope that there would be less risk.

In most investments, if you take a little bit of a chance, you might be rewarded greatly. You need to remember, that often when you play suited jacks and fives, more times than not you will end up losing, depending on the complexion of the game you are playing.

In the coming months, if not years, play your hands and your investments a little closer to your vest. If you are getting a decent ROI on your savings or investments with not a lot of risk, be thankful despite what people are saying about losing money to inflation.

It is better to have money now and worry about losing money to inflation later on just as it is better for a poker player to leave a game with money in his pockets so he (or she) can play another day!

Some more financial information can be found from my new book on Practical Money Making.

Kim Isaac Greenblatt

Kim Greenblatt talks about Sat night poker winnings and investment thinking in his blog, profitable.

Hold’em Turn Rats As Bad As River Rats and Random Reinforcement

Sunday, August 3rd, 2008

If you play Texas Hold’em, you have no doubt heard of the term, “River Rat”.  That is the unglamorous phrase used for people who by any stretch of the imagination should have folded their cards earlier but by sticking around and throwing in their money, they end up winning the hand.  

You may have encountered “Turn Rats” in low limit no limit games or games where people want action:

You are in the big blind at a $40NL table. Players just come in and no raises.  The stacks are all roughly the same.  Here is our flop:

You bet $5 and everybody folds except one player who calls.

 

              

You                                              Your Opponent

You are the favorite here but since it is low limit, no fold’em $40 hold em you aren’t sure if this player is holding pocket queens.  Well, you are actually.  He didn’t go all in so what can you do so you don’t make it worth his while to stay in the hand?

You can try to raise him $10 and in this case, and he may call.  If you go all in and he has enough money in his pocket to rebuy, he might call you to try and catch a miracle card.

With players like this who are action addicts, they will call you no matter what.

And if the turn comes like this (and it will once in awhile):

 

You will have to just force a smile, force the acid from coming up your throat and watch yourself lose no matter what.  The comfort in this is that players like your opponent will go bust and a lot of times in the same session after a few hours.  They have a lot of lucky hours but they might end up with unlucky days when the dust settles.

I’ve talked to some players and for the most part, they still remember the few times that they win with cards that come at the last minute.  I am tempted to ask some of them, and I do this of my friends, “But how many times have you tried that and lost?”  Generally you get a “I dunno” and a shrug of the shoulders.  It is random reinforcement.  People tend to remember the things they want rather than what actually has happened.

Hey, the truth can hurt but it is better in business and in gambling that you at least be honest
with yourself so you don’t end up bluffing yourself out of your money in the long run.

 

Kim Greenblatt

Questions or comments? Let me know about them! Thanks for taking the time to visit and for more information or to get back to the beginning of the blog, go here.